Human societies now operate at a scale unprecedented in history, yet they struggle to coordinate effectively in the face of environmental, social, and geopolitical crises. Climate change, institutional breakdown, misinformation, and persistent inequality are often treated as separate problems, to be solved through better politics, better technology, or better ethics. This paper starts from a different premise: that many of these difficulties are not failures of intention or morality, but symptoms of an unfinished stage of social development.
Using ideas from systems theory and evolutionary biology, the paper explores the possibility that human societies are still undergoing a process of evolutionary assembly, similar in important ways to the biological evolution that produced complex organisms. Social systems, ranging from individuals and organisations to nations, exhibit recurring structural patterns, but as they grow larger they tend to become less integrated even as their power increases. Functional specialisation expands what societies can do, but integration and control often lag behind.
The paper also argues that human needs themselves emerged in a developmental sequence, existence, relatedness, then growth, and that societies tend to follow the same pattern. When social systems prioritise growth before basic needs for security, belonging, and integration are met, instability and pathology predictably follow. From this perspective, phenomena such as criminality, institutional fragility, and environmental overshoot are not anomalies, but signals of insufficient integration at larger scales. Rather than proposing political solutions or institutional blueprints, the paper offers a way of understanding where humanity may be in its social evolutionary trajectory. It identifies two key barriers to further development, informational breakdown and weak systemic commitment, and suggests that the long-term viability of human societies depends on new forms of large-scale coordination and regulation grounded in accurate information, shared understanding, and recognition of deep interdependence.
The full paper can be downloaded in pdf format at https://rational understanding.com/sst
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